Hydrologic Outlook

ESFAFC

Locations:

* Willow and Talkeetna

* Rivers, creeks, and streams with headwaters along the western Talkeetna Mountains

Timing:

* Now through Wednesday (tomorrow) afternoon. Heaviest rainfall expected from now through about midnight tonight.

Rainfall:

* The heaviest rain is ongoing. However, an estimated 1.5 to 2 inches of rain have fallen along the Alaska Range and Talkeetna Mountains so far today, with about 0.5 to 1 inches in Susitna Valley.

* Additional rainfall amounts of about 0.5 to 1.5 inches are forecast from now through tomorrow afternoon.

* These rainfall totals likely won't be high enough for widespread flooding, but smaller tributaries draining the Talkeetnas including Willow Creek and the Little Susitna may reach bankfull.

Hydrologic Concerns:

* Many lower locations along rivers such as gravel bars and other spots popular for camping and recreating may become inundated with water with rivers reaching bankfull conditions.

* Heavy rain may result in localized ponding in low-lying areas and locations with poor drainage.

Next Steps:

* Residents along area streams as well as river users and recreators should anticipate higher than normal water levels and are advised to monitor weather and river forecasts.

* Send weather or flooding reports to inws.ncep.noaa.gov/report/ or by calling 1-907-266-5127.

* Reports on river conditions may be sent to the river forecast center by calling 1-907-266-5160.