Special Weather Statement

Invest 95W is currently draped across the central Marshall Islands as an elongated, disorganized disturbance, with a centerpoint located at 9N168E, roughly due north of Kwajalein. This centerpoint sits between two circulation centers on 95W's western and eastern sides, roughly north-northeast of Kosrae and north of Majuro, respectively. The Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) still rates Invest 95W as "medium" for development, meaning it will likely develop into a significant tropical cyclone (a Tropical Depression), but not within 24 hours.

Latest observations depict moderate southwest winds at Kosrae and gentle northwest to west winds at Pohnpei, and current satellite depicts a broad area of deep, flaring convection just north of both islands, associated with the nearby circulation center. Locally heavy showers and gusty west to northwest winds will be possible across Kosrae and Pohnpei through the next few days as Invest 95W develops, before it begins to move away in the latter half of the week.

Latest model guidances favors Invest 95W to gradually consolidate about the westernmost circulation through tonight and Tuesday, roughly north to north-northeast of Kosrae, with 95W then strengthening as it meanders north-northwest across the northwestern RMI into the latter half of the week, as a fairly large storm with potential to become a typhoon. This will maintain an unsettled pattern and strengthening westerly flow for Pohnpei and Kosrae over the next few days, which will gradually shift southwest as 95W pulls away toward the end of the week, potentially as a tropical storm or typhoon. For more information on Invest 95W, please refer to bulletins from the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) under WMO header ABPW10 PGTW.