Hydrologic Outlook

ESFAFC

Hydrologic Concerns:

* High water flowing down the Kuskokwim River, in combination with storm surge pushing up the up river, could cause water levels to rise between bankfull and minor flood stage.

* The highest water levels would occur if the downstream high water flow, storm surge, and high tide all occurred simultaneously.

Potential Impacts:

* More likely scenario: Bankfull conditions with no flooding expected.

* Worst case scenario: Nuisance flooding in low-lying areas.

Locations:

* Along Kuskokwim River, from Bethel south to Napakiak.

* Along Johnson River, from Nunapitchuk and Kasigluk south to the Kuskokwim River.

Timing:

* Highest water levels will likely occur around high tide on Friday, from about 11 AM through 4 PM.

* Strongest winds (south to southwesterly, gusting up to 30 to 45 mph) from about 4 PM Thursday through 4 PM Friday.

Next Steps:

* Monitor the forecast for updates.

* Be prepared to take action in case of minor flooding.